@Roni26:

Surprise surprise the ‘bitch’ comes out in you again.

@forexhard:

You are a poser, a pretender, a troll and a time waster.

I kindly ask both of you to get back to a more appropriate diction. Personal accuses like these remind me of some of the worst threads I know from FF. It would suit this community far better if you could control you…[Read more]

@pipatronic: nice vid, thanks for it!

Contentwise, though, there’s nothing really new as compared to our recent written discussion. My opinion stated here is still valid.

If hedging helps you in your trading approach, just go ahead. But when developing an EA I do not see a reason to go that way, because a quick exit and re-entry is easier to…[Read more]

Hmm – I understood “diversification” like entries in different pairs …

Yes, I used the term diversification a bit loosely, and I said ‘kind of diversification’ to emphasize this.

Please take it like this: since you don’t know where exactly the ‘ideal’ entry point with the smallest drawdown would be, you ‘diversify’ your entries by griddin…[Read more]

I do not know in detail how @MTH2014 sets up his grids. But in general this fits perfectly the arguments PipMeUp @ FF lays out in the last chapter of his paper, as stated above. It’s some kind of diversification of your entries trying to even out potential drawdowns caused by short term volatility.

When entering a trade, you do not know in…[Read more]

I do not know in detail how @MTH2014 sets up his grids. But in general this fits perfectly the arguments PipMeUp @ FF lays out in the last chapter of his paper, as stated above. It’s some kind of diversification of your entries trying to even out potential drawdowns caused by short term volatility.

When entering a trade, you do not know in…[Read more]

I wonder if it is a physiological thing (for me)

Hmm, do you mean ‘psychological’ ?

‘Physiological’ might mean that your trades are causing you a stomachache, or worse. I don’t hope so!

As announced earlier, I would like to come back to the topic Reward to Risk Ratio, RR.

To kick off a discussion, let me start with two links to external sources this time, which at least at a first glance seem contradictory in their respective conclusions.

First Hanover @ FF again, see here, and one quote from that post:

RR (in the conventional…

[Read more]

Okay see attached on hedging …

Good point! Now let’s put on our accountant’s glasses and change our action on your scenario slightly, without changing the scenario itself:

Replace ‘open short hedge’ by ‘close trade’
Replace ‘short closed’ by ‘re-enter trade’

Taking the nit-picking accountant’s view: what would be the difference between…[Read more]

Okay see attached on hedging …

Good point! Now let’s put on our accountant’s glasses and change our action on your scenario slightly, without changing the scenario itself:

Replace ‘open short hedge’ by ‘close trade’
Replace ‘short closed’ by ‘re-enter trade’

Taking the nit-picking accountant’s view: what would be the difference between…[Read more]

The question is, can’t we take advantage from it?

Sure we can, as long as we are correct about predecting that the market will stay in that range while our trade is open. My point is, that this is not ‘market-neutral’, like claimed by some authors. If price leaves the range and starts to trend, we loose.

Now think about using two equal sized o…

[Read more]

The question is, can’t we take advantage from it?

Sure we can, as long as we are correct about predecting that the market will stay in that range while our trade is open. My point is, that this is not ‘market-neutral’, like claimed by some authors. If price leaves the range and starts to trend, we loose.

Now think about using two equal sized o…

[Read more]

Once I’ve thought that hedging would be the solution for everything. … That would work fine for some time. But in the long run the market will reach an extreme state …

That’s the point: relying on hedged grids consisting either of limit or stop orders, is a pseudo-strategy heading straight for the annihilation of the account. If your entry s…[Read more]

To hedge or not to hedge?

Pro hedging: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6544091#post6544091
Contra hedging: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=8868124#post8868124

My personal conclusion: from a pure system developer’s perspective, I would always follow the contra arguments. When it comes to highly leveraged trades in…[Read more]

Before addressing R:R, like announced in my earlier post, let me come back to expectancy with another link. Hanover @ FF put together some conclusions on the ‘area of tension’ between expectancy and possible attempts to increase it by MM / TM methods here:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=2240127#post2240127

The rest of that thread…[Read more]

Your position handling and trade management will only influence your results if you overcome the 0.5 threshold (you make more than wins than losses).

Absolutely correct! Trade management and money management will not turn a losing strategy in a winning one, on the long run. If the expectancy of your pure entry and exit strategy is below 0.5, you…[Read more]

Side note, sorry if it is slightly of course but hedging for me is the answer to SL, material for another video

Good point! The old discussion: why hedging if you could also exit your original trade and re-enter it later, when you would close your hedge?

Talking about EAs: when looking at hedged trades from a system developer’s perspective, which…[Read more]

The MA is applied to close of price.. does this need to be changed?

No.

Why can i not implement these on a normal broker by manually selecting the MA period 1..??

I can’t help you on this problem, you may try to contact your broker.

Could you just explain to me why i am able to get the MA period to 1 on the SSBO and on real time brokers i can only put the MA period to minimum of 2 and not 1.

I can set the MA period to 1 in my Metatrader charts.

When i click the EMA to true from false and then adjust the MA period to 1 i get the best stats on backtest..?

These stats are not…[Read more]

The biggest issue I’m having is understanding the EMA period. I have selected this to 1 in the ssbo how come some trades are not being entered even when they break out of the consolidation box at the first time?

If MinBarsClosedOutside is 1 then the real time EMA should exceed the close of the break out candle. For the closed candles the si…[Read more]