@javaai
Active 10 years, 3 months agosimplex replied to the topic All about trend trading in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 11 years, 4 months ago
Great introductory post – thanks a lot!

I think I know exactly how you feel! My archive is so overly full of indicators that I coded or enhanced I can hardly count them.
simplex replied to the topic MTH – TZ and her friends for manual trading all TF in the forum Trading Systems – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
In this general wording, I believe that your statement is wrong. I would prefer to state a little more carefully:
For two given timeframes TF0 and TF1, where TF1 = N * TF0 and N > 1, price is h0-recurrent in TF0 if price is h1-recurrent in TF1 and h0 = N * h1.
Hmm – correct?
Still thinking …For h1-intervals other than h1 = N *…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic MTH – TZ and her friends for manual trading all TF in the forum Trading Systems – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
In this general wording, I believe that your statement is wrong. I would prefer to state a little more carefully:
For two given timeframes TF0 and TF1, where TF1 = N * TF0 and N > 1, price is h0-recurrent in TF0 if price is h1-recurrent in TF1 and h1 = N * h0.
Hmm – correct?
Still thinking …For h1-intervals other than h1 = N *…[Read more]
smallcat and
stt are now friends 11 years, 4 months ago
smallcat replied to the topic How to: Creation of Fractal Arrow Indi in the forum
Fractal Arrow Prediction 11 years, 4 months agoDo you know this 0.00005 gaps allowed for which TF ? Is it for M5 or also can be applied to M15, M30, H1 etc ? How to get that number (may be using ATR or other tools) ?
Thanks
simplex replied to the topic MTH – TZ and her friends for manual trading all TF in the forum Trading Systems – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
I’m not sure I understand what you mean by fake TZ. Maybe PTZ that will not be confirmed?
I also thought about an MTF approach. Anyway I’m sure (without having a mathematical proof, though) that we may not assume that TZ events analyzed at one point in time (realtime) in different timeframes are statistically independent of each other. Thus…[Read more]
simplex and
aryafx are now friends 11 years, 4 months ago
smallcat replied to the topic MTH – TZ and her friends for manual trading all TF in the forum Trading Systems – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
I like this puzzle, thanks bro

smallcat replied to the topic How to: Creation of Fractal Arrow Indi in the forum
Fractal Arrow Prediction 11 years, 4 months agosmallcat replied to the topic How to: Creation of Fractal Arrow Indi in the forum
Fractal Arrow Prediction 11 years, 4 months ago@muuh, thank you very much for this good information bro …

smallcat replied to the topic Need Your Suggestions on My Trading Simulator and Backtester in the forum General Discussions 11 years, 4 months ago
Happy New Year every body ….
This is great Zelo. Do you have a plan to include probability calculation ? Check probability at bigger TF, and also at smaller TF would be nice in my opinion bro
simplex replied to the topic MTH – TZ and her friends for manual trading all TF in the forum Trading Systems – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
Thank you, aryafx, for pointing me back to your older post!
You are absolutely right: I too believe that TZ on the same symbol, observed in different timeframes, are by no means independent of each other. So we may conclude that it would be simply incorrect to calculate some compound TZ related probability on different timeframes at the very…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Adventures in TZ Trading, journey towards 99.999% in the forum Trading Journals 11 years, 4 months ago
I even thought it could make sense to go down to the very extreme: h = 1.
simplex replied to the topic Adventures in TZ Trading, journey towards 99.999% in the forum Trading Journals 11 years, 4 months ago
Very clear chart pic and evaluation! Thanks a lot!
My current analysis is showing in exactly the same direction. Didn’t have enough time yet to work it out in sound statistics.
simplex replied to the topic Footprints of a TZR indi development in the forum Indicators – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
Simple testing.
simplex replied to the topic Footprints of a TZR indi development in the forum Indicators – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
IMO, absolutely NO! You’re having 3 independent events if you’re drawing lottery tickets out of 3 buckets independently. If winning probabilities of those single events are P0, P1, and P2, then the compound probability for all drawings to be successful is P = P0 * P1 * P2.
But I definitely doubt that 3 events taking place on the very same bar…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Footprints of a TZR indi development in the forum Indicators – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
Yes, that’s correct!
smallcat replied to the topic All about trend trading in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 11 years, 4 months ago
Hi G, do you mean the red yellow arrows ?
smallcat replied to the topic MTH – TZ and her friends for manual trading all TF in the forum Trading Systems – Development 11 years, 4 months ago
Thank you bro Kiads for you “New Year” gift

simplex replied to the topic Buried Treasure in the forum Trading Journals 11 years, 4 months ago
Agree! This is just because those single events like PTZ / CTZ are not independent of each other within one chart. If they were independent of each other, we could find a compound probability simply by multiplying all single probabilities.
If we do not find a mathematically formal description of the correlation between those single events…[Read more]
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