Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
I just updated my previous reply so take a look at it again please.
My point is if EUR is random and USD is random then the resulting EURUSD is ALSO random. You will see “trends” in a random chart as well.. we are only human, we see patterns even in sand. But I agree that there are “trends” but within these “trends” there are thousands of…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
I just updated my previous reply so take a look at it again please.
My point is if EUR is random and USD is random then the resulting EURUSD is ALSO random. You will see “trends” in a random chart as well.. we are only human, we see patterns even in sand. But I agree that there are “trends” but within these “trends” there are thousands of…[Read more]
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Perfect!!
You just proved my point: Forex is EUR trend combined with USD trend, and NOT EURUSD trend.
Good job!
G.
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Thanks for the suggestion, I will look at it But if its anything like you say then its the same stuff kids learn in school and what people learn in the washed up recycled forex world… I dont think you still get it.. lets move on. I was expecting this

Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
i dont think you still get it.. lets move on. I was expecting this

gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
The relevance of the car traveling speed and TIME – to the Forex market was explained, but here it is again.
How much TIME it takes for a price to go from point A to point B, and from point B to point C – when the distance AB=BC.
Does knowing those values affect your Forex analysis, direction and prediction?
I suggest you read Perry Kaufman’s…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Here is another. Beautiful, isn’t it?

This time its with random tick size within the full range of -1.000 to 1.000 pips.
As you see “patterns” in this, you see patterns in forex. Forex market is driven by random events that occur every given second. Hence why it is random. I saw this when I made a tick velocity indicator and when I looked at…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Here is another. Beautiful, isn’t it?

This time its with random tick size within the full range of -1.000 to 1.000 pips.
As you see “patterns” in this, you see patterns in forex. Forex market is driven by random events that occur every given second. Hence why it is random. I saw this when I made a tick velocity indicator and when I looked at…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Here is another. Beautiful, isn’t it?
This time its with random tick size within the full range of -1.000 to 1.000 pips
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Here is an example.. look at this chart and tell me if its random or not.
If you answered Random, then you are correct!
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Focus on where NOT to trade!
Using Currency-Strength:
Use only non-digital Currency-Strength indicator – you need to see direction and not only numbers.
Buy signal is when Currency A is above 0 and rising while Currency B is below 0 and falling.
The above signal should be supported by some kind of volume increasing indicator as supporting…[Read more]
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Focus on where NOT to trade!
G.
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
The MAIN key to this 1 pip strategy is not price-action, but identifying Trending market with high probability, and at the same time avoiding High/Low zones.
Basically, the most important thing in this 1 pip strategy is when NOT to trade…
I’m currently using separate indicators for Trending AND for Ranging identification, and trade only…[Read more]
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
The MAIN key to this 1 pip strategy is not price-action, but identifying Trending market with high probability, and at the same time avoiding High/Low zones.
Basically, the most important thing in this 1 pip strategy is when NOT to trade…
I’m currently using separate indicators for Trending AND for Ranging identification, and trade only…[Read more]
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
The MAIN key to this 1 pip strategy is not price-action, but identifying Trending market with high probability, and at the same time avoiding High/Low zones.
I’m currently using separate indicators for Trending AND for Ranging identification, and trade only when Trending=TRUE and Ranging=FALSE, thus doubling the probability of entering in…[Read more]
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
The MAIN key to this 1 pip strategy is not price-action, but identifying Trending market with high probability., and at the same time avoiding High/Low zones.
I’m currently using separate indicators for Trending AND for Ranging identification, and trade only when Trending=TRUE and Ranging=FALSE, thus doubling the probability of entering in…[Read more]
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
The above is not a proof of random…
1. You are trading NOISE.
2. Bar open from previous open contains some degree of the “trend”, and by trading from “Open” to next “Open” you are “considering” part of the “trend”.
G.
gg53 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
Try 144 ticks bars to distinguish chop vs. trending market.
G.
Saver0 started the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
This is a continuation of “Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip”
I want to expand on the nature of the markets and break it down further. This thread is all about the Randomness of the market.
I have read many threads and discussions at forexfactory where “high ranking” individuals stating that the forex market is not r…[Read more]
Saver0 started the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 9 months ago
This is a continuation of “Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip”
I want to expand on the nature of the markets and break it down further. This thread is all about the Randomness of the market.
I have read many threads and discussions at forexfactory where “high ranking” individuals stating that the forex market is not r…[Read more]
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