@Felix

Thanks for your comment. Yes, maybe Eurusdd didn’t know exactly what he was talking about. However, I’ve seen that his ideas contain new and outstanding approaches. On the other hand I’ve noticed that his claims are not always correct and somewhat inconsistent. For instance, some of his success numbers are not true (e.g. you can’t approach…[Read more]

@Felix:

Thanks for your comment. Yes, maybe Eurusdd didn’t know exactly what he was talking about. However, I’ve seen that his ideas contain new and outstanding approaches. On the other hand I’ve noticed that his claims are not always correct and somewhat inconsistent. For instance, some of his success numbers are not true (e.g. you can’t…[Read more]

@Felix:

Thanks for your comment. Yes, maybe Eurusdd didn’t know exactly what he was talking about. However, I’ve seen that his ideas contain new and outstanding approaches. On the other hand I’ve noticed that his claims are not always correct and somewhat inconsistent. For instance, some of his success numbers are not true (e.g. you can’t…[Read more]

Hi Saver0. Just a short comment on your probability statement (atm I’m busy with my day job). I don’t think that it is correct. You should use the Bayes theorem in order to calculate the conditional probability, which in your case would be:

P(40 pips rise | 20 pips rise and 20 pips fall afterwards) = [ P(20 pips rise and 20 pips fall afterwards |…[Read more]

This is interesting.. A close friend of mine’s dad actually has been trading now for over 2+yrs successfully and he retired in the beginning of the year and trading full-time now (he is extremely disciplined). I saw his strategy and its very similar to what you outlined actually. He uses slope lines in multiple time-frames and he also LOVES OBV.…[Read more]

Oh, almost forgot! Here is my node.js script if anyone is interested in playing around 

You need to have Node.js installed in your system.
Run npm install to install the needed packages.
Then run the command node simple_probability.js in the directory.
I added some comments to the top. First you will need a data export from MT4 or EURUSD…[Read more]

Oh, almost forgot! Here is my node.js script if anyone is interested in playing around 

You need to have Node.js installed in your system.
Run npm install to install the needed packages.
Then run the command node simple_probability.js in the directory.
I added some comments to the top. First you will need a data export from MT4 or EURUSD…[Read more]

Hi all!

I started playing around with probabilities once again  I’m wondering if someone could verify if my probability calculations are correct.

This is what I want to find out:

What is the probability of price going up 40 pips given that it has already gone up 20 pips first before going down 20 pips.

I’m observing EURUSD for this…[Read more]

(I use this thread to store some thoughts for later investigations. This is one.)

Eurusdd said that EURUSD fulfills 8 out of 10 fractal conditions (see here or here). I wondered what those conditions could be. While investigating another topic, I found an interesting chapter on fractal stochastic processes as well as self-similarity. The author…[Read more]

hi no simplex its not abt amazing that was part of experiment doing with hurst gann method

in amazing u can trade only one trade per day not more then that.

Test

Thanks, my friend!

@TradeFinder! That’s really great! Thanks a lot. Could you or @simplex send them to me?

If your forward test results are good you can continue trading with the same settings, otherwise try to find new settings with EMA disabled.

Backtest results with EMA are inaccurate. The signal was shown to be permitted before the EMA had closed above because the indicator uses an approximation method for the entry price level, it tries to simulate real time behaviour. The  EMA 1 should exceed the close of the candle.

For a valid real time signal the real time EMA should exceed the close of the bar. In history there are no real time data therefore instead of real time EMA we use the closed candle EMA. This is obviously inaccurate and explains why the circled areas could have given valid real time entry signals but no historical ones.

It defines the stop loss as a percentage of  the distance of current price from the take profit level. You can set it to 50 for a test.

It took a long time to understand some of the theories behind Eurusdds similarity methods. Although I’ve just understood a fraction of the whole similarity thread, I was able to create some high probability setups. Two of them are shown below. The first image just depicts ZZ tops and bottoms that are suspect real turning points as they don’t…[Read more]

A dynamic trailing stop option and the ability to copy SSBODynamicBreakoutBox signals have beed added to Rossbot.