Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
I updated the first post with a link to a new tick chart indicator that I ended up using and the new EA that I made to help me with the trading. It’s now easier to spot where the true TP line would be and to see the up coming news and current spread.
Also attached is an example of a bad trade which still resolved in about 5hrs. This tends to…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
I updated the first post with a link to a new tick chart indicator that I ended up using and the new EA that I made to help me with the trading. It’s now easier to spot where the true TP line would be and to see the up coming news and current spread.
Also attached is an example of a bad trade which still resolved in about 5hrs. This tends to…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
Haha millions sure does get us all excited
The numbers say its possible but its safest to cash out after small gains of 1000% instead of waiting for 10,000% gain! hahaAs for the Renko charts. It’s a good idea. If you are best at telling trend with Renko, sure, use it!

Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
You are right!

As for % per trade, I use Oanda (1:50) and I can get up to 0.43% per trade in EURUSD but if one goes for lower, then that also increases the probability of success because it increases the amount of time you have per trade due to draw down so very valid point. Also keep in mind that you don’t have to go for 2% a day. With…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
Here are all the ideal places with lower high for short entries off of the tick chart (since its short trades that I was looking for based on M15 chart)
Always wait for a good setup on M15 and then this type of setups on the tick chart to make the entry.Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
I’m not sure if you are still getting my point. If anyone is wrong only 0.01% of the time, it’s fine to blow up the account when that 0.01% event occurs.
The TZ EA was a different concept. This is not TZ trading. It’s very difficult for an EA to read the trend correctly, not impossible but its much easier to spend 15min a day to place 2-3…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
Here are all the trades that were taken today as an example. I enter the pull-backs in tick chart that were against the trend direction of the M15.
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
It’s all based on how much profit you take from a single trade. My goal is 0.40% from each trade. Here is the calculation you can do to figure out how much the final gain would be after X number of trades.
G = Percent gain in decimal (i.e. 0.40% = 0.004)
X = Number of trades
Then percent gain after X number of trades = ((1+G)^X)*100
For…[Read more]Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
Glad to hear Scissors! TP of 20pips is pretty high for me but if it works for you, then that’s great. The highest accuracy (probability of success) is for lower TP size. With 20pip TP, my guess is that the probability is probably at around 60% (60% recurrent) with random entry but I’m sure it can be very high if you are really good at reading the…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
As I wrote these posts, I already made 2 trades. I’ll make a few more and then I’m done for the day. The 2 trades took only about 5 minutes of me quickly glancing at the charts. I don’t think it can get any easier than this

Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
The chance of me screwing up is 0.01% (1 / 10,000). That means if I trade a 10 Thousand times, I would fail once. Heck, I will take 1 out of a thousand. With this system, you are starting out with 1 out of 100 failures if you just blindly Buy or Sell. I’m sure you are a pretty good trader already that knows how to read the trend and can spot…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
There is no SL and the SL is a margin call. You play with the account as the stop loss. The goal is to reach the 99.99% success rate by trading with the trend. Taking 1pip TP at high volatile times for this 1pip is the easiest thing you can do. Just take a look at a tick chart. As long as you follow the rules, you will have 99.99% success…[Read more]
gg53 replied to the topic How to: Creation of Fractal Arrow Indi in the forum
Fractal Arrow Prediction 10 years, 10 months agoSame High (Low) is for internal bars within the ZZ leg, not the top/bottom ones.
G.
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
They are just MA lines placed on the CMP indicator. Trend is not based on just the MA lines.. its a bit difficult to explain quickly. Tomorrow I will write more about it

Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
Good question! Let me try to answer this question with another question. If the probability of any single trade being a success is 99.99% and if you place 4 trades a day (each trade bringing 0.5% profit, for a total profit of ~2% per day), how many trades would it take for you to end up with a losing trade? Before then, how big would your…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
Good question! Let me try to answer this question with another question. If the probability of any single trade being a success is 99.99% and if you place 4 trades a day (each trade bringing 0.5% profit, for a total profit of ~2% per day), how many trades would it take for you to end up with a losing trade? Before then, how big would your…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
Good question! Let me try to answer this question with another question. If the probability of any single trade being a success is 99.99% and if you place 4 trades a day (each trade bringing 0.5% profit, for a total profit of ~2% per day), how many trades would it take for you to end up with a losing trade? Before then, how big your account…[Read more]
Saver0 started the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
As I trade on my week off from work, I want to share with you a realization that I’ve made in trading. After I made this realization, never will I trade like the way I used to ever again. The method doesn’t involve any complicated indicators (although, I use the Saver0 – Currency Multi Power to make it easier to see the trend). This is a direct a…[Read more]
Saver0 started the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
As I trade on my week off from work, I want to share with you a realization that I’ve made in trading. After I made this realization, never will I trade like the way I used to ever again. The method doesn’t involve any complicated indicators (although, I use the Saver0 – Currency Multi Power to make it easier to see the trend). This is a direct a…[Read more]
Saver0 started the topic Nature of Markets – Power of Probability, Compounding & 1pip in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years, 10 months ago
As I trade on my week off from work, I want to share with you a realization that I’ve made in trading. After I made this realization, never will I trade like the way I used to ever again. The method doesn’t involve any complicated indicators (although, I use the Saver0 – Currency Multi Power to make it easier to see the trend). This is a direct a…[Read more]
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