simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 12 months ago
Before addressing R:R, like announced in my earlier post, let me come back to expectancy with another link. Hanover @ FF put together some conclusions on the ‘area of tension’ between expectancy and possible attempts to increase it by MM / TM methods here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=2240127#post2240127
The rest of that thread…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 12 months ago
Your position handling and trade management will only influence your results if you overcome the 0.5 threshold (you make more than wins than losses).
Absolutely correct! Trade management and money management will not turn a losing strategy in a winning one, on the long run. If the expectancy of your pure entry and exit strategy is below 0.5, you…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 12 months ago
Side note, sorry if it is slightly of course but hedging for me is the answer to SL, material for another video
Good point! The old discussion: why hedging if you could also exit your original trade and re-enter it later, when you would close your hedge?
Talking about EAs: when looking at hedged trades from a system developer’s perspective, which…[Read more]
simplex started the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 12 months ago
Recently I stumbled upon a thread over at FF with the very same title. The leading post in that thread contains a pdf, which IMO is one of the rare pearls you may find surfing around in FX forums. Highly recommended reading!
The author (PipMeUp) examined well-known general trading techniques like trailing stops, moving SL to BE, partial closure…[Read more]
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 12 months ago
The MA is applied to close of price.. does this need to be changed?
No.
Why can i not implement these on a normal broker by manually selecting the MA period 1..??
I can’t help you on this problem, you may try to contact your broker.
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
Could you just explain to me why i am able to get the MA period to 1 on the SSBO and on real time brokers i can only put the MA period to minimum of 2 and not 1.
I can set the MA period to 1 in my Metatrader charts.
When i click the EMA to true from false and then adjust the MA period to 1 i get the best stats on backtest..?
These stats are not…[Read more]
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
The biggest issue I’m having is understanding the EMA period. I have selected this to 1 in the ssbo how come some trades are not being entered even when they break out of the consolidation box at the first time?
If MinBarsClosedOutside is 1 then the real time EMA should exceed the close of the break out candle. For the closed candles the si…[Read more]
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
The biggest issue I’m having is understanding the EMA period. I have selected this to 1 in the ssbo how come some trades are not being entered even when they break out of the consolidation box at the first time?
If MinBarsClosedOutside is 1 then then real time EMA should exceed the close of the break out candle. For the closed candles the si…[Read more]
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
Could please explain how the change of BoxRange should block a trade?
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
What are the MinBarsClosedOutside and MAAppliedPrice settings?
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
What are your exact settings?
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
For a valid entry the real time EMA should break a level. If MinBarsClosedOutside is set to zero then this level is the breakout level of the consolidation zone. If MinBarsClosedOutside is greater than zero then this level is the close of the candle that closed beyond the breakout level of the consolidation zone. You can check the validity of EM…[Read more]
xux99 replied to the topic Stairstep Breakouts indicator and EA in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
For a valid entry the real time EMA should break a level. If MinBarsClosedOutside is set to zero then this level is the breakout level of the consolidation zone. If MinBarsClosedOutside is greter than zero then this level is the close of the candle that closed beyond the breakout level of the consolidation zone. You can check the validity of EM…[Read more]
simplex started the topic MetaTrader & Windows 10 Upgrade in the forum General Discussions 10 years ago
Most MT4 users and coders are aware of the fact that the deadline for a free upgrade to Win10 will be reached soon. Running my MT on Win 7 platforms until now, I cautiously upgraded 3 PCs during the last 3 weeks.
Everything related with MT4 is working absolutely smooth after the upgrade.
Upgraded platforms:
Intel i5 laptop: Win 7 Home Premium…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Trading made REALLY Simple: Coder's Chat in the forum Development 10 years ago
I’d like to come back to Ron Black’s CLEAR Method indicator much discussed here as well as in the main thread. Recently I stumbled upon a video showing an interesting approach to utilize CLEAR in a more sophisticated way than proposed here before.
Note: that YouTube video is posted by a company, linking to their commercial website. Please don’t…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic The similarity system – discussion in the forum General Discussions 10 years ago
I believe that there is no such thing as an ‘optimal setting’ for a Stoch indicator. After you’ve identified ‘your’ optimal setting for the moment, be sure it has changed a few bars ago or is changing now or will change during the next following bars. Market is too fast for such an approach.
What smallcat described is the typical Stoch ambiguity.…[Read more]
smallcat replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
Very interesting @saver0, thanks for this
One question: At your example, “translating” of percentage to fixed money amount ($5 TP & $6 SL in this example), is it including the Commission, Spread, Swap, etc ?Saver0 replied to the topic The similarity system – discussion in the forum General Discussions 10 years ago
@Anti
I’m continuing my discussion here from last December
http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/nature-of-markets-randomness-probability/page/3/#post-12762Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
Hi all!
A lot has happened in my absence from this community. There were some family things that happened but things has finally returned to “normal” and I’m finding more time to continue my research where I left off. I hope to share my findings with you here and help you all along the way.
Continuing from where I left…[Read more]
Saver0 replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
Hi all!
A lot has happened in my absence from this community. There were some family things that happened but things has finally returned to “normal” and I’m finding more time to continue my research where I left off. I hope to share my findings with you here and help you all along the way.
Continuing from where I left…[Read more]
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