simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
The question is, can’t we take advantage from it?
Sure we can, as long as we are correct about predecting that the market will stay in that range while our trade is open. My point is, that this is not ‘market-neutral’, like claimed by some authors. If price leaves the range and starts to trend, we loose.
Now think about using two equal sized o…
simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
Once I’ve thought that hedging would be the solution for everything. … That would work fine for some time. But in the long run the market will reach an extreme state …
That’s the point: relying on hedged grids consisting either of limit or stop orders, is a pseudo-strategy heading straight for the annihilation of the account. If your entry s…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
To hedge or not to hedge?
Pro hedging: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6544091#post6544091
Contra hedging: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=8868124#post8868124My personal conclusion: from a pure system developer’s perspective, I would always follow the contra arguments. When it comes to highly leveraged trades in…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
Before addressing R:R, like announced in my earlier post, let me come back to expectancy with another link. Hanover @ FF put together some conclusions on the ‘area of tension’ between expectancy and possible attempts to increase it by MM / TM methods here:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=2240127#post2240127
The rest of that thread…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
Your position handling and trade management will only influence your results if you overcome the 0.5 threshold (you make more than wins than losses).
Absolutely correct! Trade management and money management will not turn a losing strategy in a winning one, on the long run. If the expectancy of your pure entry and exit strategy is below 0.5, you…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
Side note, sorry if it is slightly of course but hedging for me is the answer to SL, material for another video
Good point! The old discussion: why hedging if you could also exit your original trade and re-enter it later, when you would close your hedge?
Talking about EAs: when looking at hedged trades from a system developer’s perspective, which…[Read more]
simplex started the topic Expectancy Management in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
Recently I stumbled upon a thread over at FF with the very same title. The leading post in that thread contains a pdf, which IMO is one of the rare pearls you may find surfing around in FX forums. Highly recommended reading!
The author (PipMeUp) examined well-known general trading techniques like trailing stops, moving SL to BE, partial closure…[Read more]
George replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 9 years, 11 months ago
New levels for EUR/USD. Made today. Should be very accurate. (More accurate then before tbh) Last time I used only one TF. I admit I have still mess in TF’s. :'( Need to fix it somehow ASAP.
simplex started the topic MetaTrader & Windows 10 Upgrade in the forum General Discussions 10 years ago
Most MT4 users and coders are aware of the fact that the deadline for a free upgrade to Win10 will be reached soon. Running my MT on Win 7 platforms until now, I cautiously upgraded 3 PCs during the last 3 weeks.
Everything related with MT4 is working absolutely smooth after the upgrade.
Upgraded platforms:
Intel i5 laptop: Win 7 Home Premium…[Read more]
simplex replied to the topic Trading made REALLY Simple: Coder's Chat in the forum Development 10 years ago
I’d like to come back to Ron Black’s CLEAR Method indicator much discussed here as well as in the main thread. Recently I stumbled upon a video showing an interesting approach to utilize CLEAR in a more sophisticated way than proposed here before.
Note: that YouTube video is posted by a company, linking to their commercial website. Please don’t…[Read more]
George replied to the topic Nature of Markets – Randomness & Probability in the forum Trading Systems Discussion 10 years ago
Ok guys, here are some support resistance lines. I will explain later, after some move. Btw vertical lines means place where price should reverse. But it works only if market is not in trend. We need good sideway moves. :) Ah, S/R lines should be traded on tick charts (or 1 minute at least). This way you can eliminate wrong sup/res. I have no…[Read more]
Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
Looking for a function that will draw a line until it hits price
Edit: i think i have this worked out. writing it down so when i forget i can look here again
if (priceToStartDrawing>0)[Read more]
{
bool flag = false
end_Draw_index = start_drawPoint_index+1//will be minus if your most current bar in history is indexed as 0
while (end_Draw_index <…Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
looking for a function that will draw a line until it hits price
Edit: i think i have this worked out. writing it down so when i forget i can look here again
if (priceToStartDrawing>0)[Read more]
{
bool flag = false
end_Draw_index = start_drawPoint_index+1//will be minus if your most current bar in history is indexed as 0
while (end_Draw_index <…Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
looking for a function that will draw a line until it hits price
Edit: i think i have this worked out. writing it down so when i forget i can look here again
if (priceToStartDrawing>0)[Read more]
{
bool flag = false
end_Draw_index = start_drawPoint_index+1//will be minus if your most current bar in history is indexed as 0
while (end_Draw_index <…Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
looking for a function that will draw a line until it hits price
Edit: i think i have this worked out. writing it down so when i forget i can look here again
if (priceToStartDrawing>0)[Read more]
{
bool flag = false
end_Draw_index = start_drawPoint_index+1//will be minus if your most current bar in history is indexed as 0
while (end_Draw_index <…Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
looking for a function that will draw a line until it hits price
Edit: i think i have this worked out. writing it down so when i forget i can look here again
if (priceToStartDrawing>0)[Read more]
{
bool flag = false
end_Draw_index = start_drawPoint_index+1//will be minus if your most current bar in history is indexed as 0
while (end_Draw_index <…Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
looking for a function that will draw a line until it hits price
Edit: i think i have this worked out. writing it down so when i forget i can look here again
if (priceToStartDrawing>0)[Read more]
{
bool flag = false
end_Draw_index = start_drawPoint_index+1//will be minus if your most current bar in history is indexed as 0
while (end_Draw_index <…Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
looking for a function that will draw a line until it hits price
Lowphat replied to the topic Coders Supporting Coders in the forum Development 10 years ago
anyone have time to fix my old extremely poor attempt at copy and pasting code to draw a line from a market inefficiency until it hits price in the future?
simplex replied to the topic The similarity system – discussion in the forum General Discussions 10 years ago
I believe that there is no such thing as an ‘optimal setting’ for a Stoch indicator. After you’ve identified ‘your’ optimal setting for the moment, be sure it has changed a few bars ago or is changing now or will change during the next following bars. Market is too fast for such an approach.
What smallcat described is the typical Stoch ambiguity.…[Read more]
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