Hi @flx23,

Did you proceed your project / ideas in silence? Any ideas to bring this thread back to life?

@flx23: I’ve just shared some ideas that working with quite simple assumptions. I haven’t backtested them (although I did some “visual” backtesting). Thus, I surely would be interested in the results of backtests. And if you (or others) think the ideas are worth studying I think it would be a good idea to find optimal parametrs. For instance, for…[Read more]

@flx23: Thank’s a lot for your reply. With the statement you cited in the first place, I’ve thought in some ways like it was described in a recent FF thread: The Monty Hall Problem applied to trading. I believe that the equite curves show that it is possible to be successful without ever knowing which way to got. However, that might be a dangerous…[Read more]

@flx23: Thank’s a lot for your reply. With the statement you cited in the first place, I’ve thought in some ways like it was described in a recent FF thread: The Monty Hall Problem applied to trading. I believe that the equite curves show that it is possible to be successful without ever knowing which way to got. However, that might be a dangerous…[Read more]

You’re good, @flx23. The main assumption of the theorem was that prize is generated by a stochastic process that gives equal chances for any candle to be either an up or down candle (or having higher highs/lows than the previous candle). However, in his post (see the delivered quotation here) Eurusdd presumes that the probability is shifted…[Read more]

You’re good, @flx23. The main assumption of the theorem was that prize is generated by a stochastic process that gives equal chances for any candle to be either an up or down candle (or having higher highs/lows than the previous candle). However, in his post (see the delivered quotation here) Eurusdd presumes that the probability is shifted…[Read more]

@flx23: Well, so I believe that we all don’t see any edge.

However. Another thing that rankles me is how semi-professional traders trades before computers and fast datafeeds arose. I mean, how did successful traders which didn’t work at the stock exchange or a bank directly decided when to trade and/or when to get out of a trade. So, when did…[Read more]