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	<title>Market Oracle Forum | TraderTM | Friends Activity</title>
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				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic Statistics &#038; Probabilities in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/statistics-probabilities/#post-15783</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 03 Oct 2024 22:14:54 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi @lohnere</p>
<p>Thank you for responding. You are right; SL is hit within 3.3 hours 97.16% of the time, so it makes sense to take a trade toward the SL direction first and then use a time-based exit. </p>
<p>I asked this question because there is a way to trade options with stats like these. I&#8217;m not an option trading expert, so I was hoping to hear from&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23442"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/statistics-probabilities/#post-15783" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic Reversion zone product improvements in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/#post-15773</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 12 Sep 2024 18:41:59 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@GildedLining, would you happen to be on Discord? If so, we could chat there and talk through this and more  <img src='https://forum.marketoracle.io/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/wpml_smile.gif' alt=':-)' width='20' height='24' class='wpml_ico' /> </p>
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				<title>Saver0 started the topic Statistics &#038; Probabilities in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/statistics-probabilities/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 12 Sep 2024 15:41:49 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last night, I had the idea to get more granular stats for various events. I believe the signaling engine we have today can be used for very advanced trading to print money daily. The strategy that I&#8217;m working on involves Options trading.</p>
<p>For example, here are some interesting stats for the IWM signals that the system generates. I&#8217;m curious to&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23435"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/statistics-probabilities/" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic Reversion zone product improvements in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/#post-15764</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 12 Sep 2024 05:02:50 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CRF and SPGI are now loaded up @GildedLining   <img src='https://forum.marketoracle.io/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/wpml_good.gif' alt=':good:' width='26' height='23' class='wpml_ico' />  </p>
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				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic Reversion zone product improvements in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/#post-15761</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 10 Sep 2024 17:36:06 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi @GildedLining</p>
<p>I&#8217;m now loading up CRF and SPGI for you. It should most likely be available by tomorrow. I&#8217;m doing a bit of multi-tasking, so I apologize ahead of time for any delays.</p>
<p>The &#8220;risk amount per trade&#8221; is designed to calculate the # of units to purchase. This is the column # that you will see in notifications and in the symbol details&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23430"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/#post-15761" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">53a03f13eb6dc9f99fc1938a6e2c1b48</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15760</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 10 Sep 2024 14:16:42 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey everyone,</p>
<p>Let’s break this down so it’s super clear.</p>
<p>There are 3 key lines we’re working with:<br />
<strong>Black:</strong> This is your Price Trend line.<br />
<strong>Green:</strong> Fast Moving Average (MA) of the Price Trend line.<br />
<strong>Purple:</strong> Slow MA of the Price Trend line.<br />
<strong>Red/Green</strong> line (with matching background color): This is your Price Impulse line.</p>
<p><strong>Type 1: Inversion Setup&hellip;</strong><span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23429"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15760" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">ab42837c9c41666471c5b00dec0b7c8b</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15756</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 05 Sep 2024 15:46:27 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You are correct in identifying the candle where you saw the price moving quickly away from the trend. These are impulses that often gets corrected.<br />
Keep in mind that every candle can be treated individually. So, if the candle is a spike against the trend, we can expect the price to revisit back to some area within that candle. This is how there&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23422"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15756" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">80ee8f7fde91d3b7e6834725657827f6</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15745</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 05 Sep 2024 01:28:57 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I will publish the new version of the indicator tomorrow, and you should get it through TradingView then. It makes spotting these easier. I think the best zones are validated with 2 time periods, but just looking at the M15 on EURUSD, this is what I get. </p>
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				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15740</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 05 Sep 2024 00:35:46 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I refined the indicator. </p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">f62b88742113e4a31bc9510329dcade9</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15739</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 05 Sep 2024 00:26:37 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Are the colored arrow-lines auto-generated, or are you drawing those on the chart to illustrate for us?<br />
Just some of the zones I drew to illustrate</p>
<p>Why are there only colored lines on the right side of the chart, not the left?<br />
I drew only a couple</p>
<p>Are you specifically directing our attention to the vertical blue lines on the 29th, not any of&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23415"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15739" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">6845cb0a2c3269884ff3e610107b008d</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15731</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 13:51:35 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is a live one to demonstrate</p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">3fc5cd8f11c2ebef6151e5a1547f1442</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15729</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 13:48:41 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good observation! Time is still a key component that I haven&#8217;t cracked statistically. I&#8217;ve been told that there is a time window for reversions. My system currently uses an arbitrary time window but not a window calculated based on the price movement or candle(s). So I appreciate your comment and perhaps there is something we can develop&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23409"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15729" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">5d144e4f0af7ef32cd9b366720d6a294</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic Reversion zone product improvements in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/#post-15728</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 13:38:09 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for pointing this out. This is a great illustration of how this trading system works so let me explain it. I think I missed this bit in the guide.</p>
<p>When the trade simulation is performed, it takes the initial capital of $100k, based on the signals for each zone, and places a trade with either a fixed amount of loss set to $1000 or 1%&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23408"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/#post-15728" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">9ad72998d2238aeb902249d602784c0d</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15722</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 00:10:12 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Simplex!</p>
<p>Welcome back! I&#8217;m committed to keeping this going this time. I invested way too much time over the past three years to stop now. I believe reversion is the only edge we have and need to be highly successful. I also have a TradingView indicator that I want to share with this group. You can use it in day trading to detect these&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23405"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15722" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">91c093670f782d2ea9b35591f20f6500</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15721</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 00:05:20 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Vlan,</p>
<p>Welcome back! </p>
<p>I just activated XAUUSD and got very good results. For the best results, make sure to look at the long-only option. You probably want to take only long signals. I expect experienced human traders to beat the results on the dashboard, so I&#8217;m hoping the users on this forum will have remarkable results.</p>
<p>Please take a look&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23404"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15721" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">4d6c20149227b6f67c92a8a25c2721ea</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15717</link>
				<pubDate>Sun, 01 Sep 2024 19:13:22 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Perhaps I need to show something to get the conversation started.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m showcasing two types of reversion in this example. Can you spot them?</p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">50dac8b408a439a8c3d24a044308d7fd</guid>
				<title>Saver0 replied to the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15715</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 29 Aug 2024 19:03:50 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Welcome back <a href='https://forum.marketoracle.io/members/pmmforex/' rel="nofollow ugc">@PMMforex</a>! I appreciate your vote of confidence and joining the Beta. As you start using it, you can drop into the Discord server or post your questions/feedback <a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/" rel="nofollow ugc">in this new topic</a> that I made. </p>
<p>As for the system being exploited, I&#8217;m not going to share the exact details of the system that I have in production. Also, the paid product&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23396"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/#post-15715" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">03da6a7053a46219e6a622a651e4dd05</guid>
				<title>Saver0 started the topic Reversion zone product improvements in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/reversion-zone-product-improvements/</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 29 Aug 2024 18:56:42 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m opening this topic to gather your feedback so that I can improve the product. </p>
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				<title>Saver0 started the topic All about reversion zones in the forum Reversion Zones</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 28 Aug 2024 21:31:07 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi all!</p>
<p>I&#8217;m happy to share details about Reversion Zones to help you develop the concept further and make it a unique tool in your trading arsenal. </p>
<p>So what are Reversion Zones?<br />
Some of you are probably familiar with the concept of mean reversion. Legendary Jim Simmons used this concept in many of his interviews. My idea of reversion zones is&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-23393"><a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/forums/topic/all-about-reversion-zones/" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">118b9a252d635ed8bf0e623ee6a06a65</guid>
				<title>Saver0 started the topic EOY 2020 Discussion in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/eoy-2020-discussion/</link>
				<pubDate>Sun, 29 Nov 2020 21:35:23 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi all!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m back and I got the site back online. Sorry for being away from you all for many months and failing to get the site back online. It&#8217;s been one crazy year and I wanted to have a safe place for us to discuss what&#8217;s going on in the world and trading opportunities.</p>
<p>This year I got heavy into stock as well and did a bunch of Option&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-22922"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/eoy-2020-discussion/" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>gg53 posted a new activity comment</title>
				<link>https://forum.marketoracle.io/activity/p/22669/#acomment-22670</link>
				<pubDate>Sat, 11 May 2019 21:01:27 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What r u talking about?</p>
<p>G.</p>
				<strong>In reply to</strong> -
				<a href="https://forum.marketoracle.io/members/asim-iqbal008/" rel="nofollow ugc">Asim Iqbal</a> posted an update <a href='http://penguintraders.com/members/gg53/' rel="nofollow ugc">@gg53</a> Hello! GG. I am facing problem in loading fractal_server.js. Is the node server not live now? Can you help me out?			]]></content:encoded>
				
				
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic For the friends of cultivated filtering in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/for-the-friends-of-cultivated-filtering/#post-14244</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 20 Dec 2017 22:04:54 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks a lot, guys. It&#8217;s quite interesting to see that there&#8217;s no direct relationship between the period and the lag. I don&#8217;t like to apply it in trading. However, it seems to be part of CrucialPoint&#8217;s indicators (Zero-lag MACD) that uses the Zero-lag EMA described in the paper you mentioned.</p>
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				<guid isPermaLink="false">56a0b4756e82761654bb8663e4cf30df</guid>
				<title>Anti replied to the topic For the friends of cultivated filtering in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/for-the-friends-of-cultivated-filtering/#post-14237</link>
				<pubDate>Mon, 11 Dec 2017 07:35:10 -0500</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi, I&#8217;m not sure if this really fits here. However, I have a question in regards to Ehlers ZeroLag MA. I&#8217;ve tried to find out which lag this &#8220;zero lag&#8221; version produces in comparison to its calculation period. Unfortunately without much success. Any hints?</p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/11/#post-14201</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 03 Nov 2017 11:06:06 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Enough ideas for homework over the weekend???</p></blockquote>
<p>Definitively  <img src='https://forum.marketoracle.io/wp-content/plugins/wp-monalisa/icons/wpml_wacko.gif' alt=':wacko:' width='20' height='24' class='wpml_ico' /> </p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/11/#post-14196</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 02 Nov 2017 22:10:47 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh &#8211; I found indeed a shift in behaviour &#8211; even in my H1. The indicator window shows the H1 excess activity for a typical week in 2014 (left) and in 2017 (right) &#8230; The shift seems to happened somewhere in the beginning of Octobre 2014.<br />
<img loading="lazy" src="http://www.biostudies.de/images/pvbreak.png" alt="" width="500" height="325" /></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/11/#post-14194</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 02 Nov 2017 21:50:51 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And here is the prize path-volume-structure of EURUSD in terms of the intercepts and slopes &#8230;<br />
<img loading="lazy" src="http://biostudies.de/images/pvreleu.png" alt="" width="500" height="474" /><br />
From the slope relation the outstanding M15 behaviour becomes even more visible.</p>
<p>The question is, what we now could do with these numbers &#8230;</p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/11/#post-14193</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 02 Nov 2017 21:39:11 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href='http://penguintraders.com/members/simplex/' rel="nofollow ugc">@simplex</a>: This evening I had some time and thus I followed your suggestion and calculated prize paths and regressions between prize path and volume for EURUD. I obtained the results listed below:<br />
<img loading="lazy" src="http://www.biostudies.de/images/table.png" alt="" width="540" height="150" /><br />
I calculated the results beginning with the smallest TF. Thus, I was amazed to see that there&#8217;s a tendency up to the H1 that for higher TFs the prize&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21848"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/11/#post-14193" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/11/#post-14189</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 26 Oct 2017 14:15:32 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, it does. Even if I ignore these cases, your idea only explains less than 3 % of total variance &#8230;</p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/10/#post-14186</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 26 Oct 2017 11:47:15 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Seems that the quote function doesn&#8217;t work again &#8230;</p>
<p>Take you time to do whatever you want ;) I know that this forum isn&#8217;t as attracting as it was two years ago since most users are very silent.</p>
<p>Regarding 2*(High-Low)/abs(Open-Close): I&#8217;ve tested different versions for the prize path. I think I&#8217;ve tested a similar formula, too. However,&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21812"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/10/#post-14186" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/10/#post-14180</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 25 Oct 2017 15:22:14 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve thought it would be a good idea to investigate the relationship between prize movements and volume. Thus, I&#8217;ve used my way of calculating the prize path, calculated it for 603,896 M1 candles and looked at the relationship between prize path and volume:<br />
<img loading="lazy" src="http://www.biostudies.de/images/vpexam.png" alt="" width="719" height="451" /><br />
As you can see, there seems to be a linear relation between volume and the prize path. The&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21808"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/10/#post-14180" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/10/#post-14178</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 24 Oct 2017 07:28:05 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, surely. It may only give a hint. Thanks!</p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic True Bars/Candles and Market Sentiment in the forum Trading Systems Discussion</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/10/#post-14176</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 24 Oct 2017 03:38:31 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After studying the volume concepts laid down by GG I found this one again. After adapting and filtering with higher TF signals I obtain sometimes quite accurate turning points. However, what me really wonders is this: We can often see turning points with a high volume and a high range. How does it fit in the water flow analogy? Why should the&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21793"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/true-barscandles-and-market-sentiment/page/10/#post-14176" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Trading made REALLY Simple in the forum Development</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/trading-made-really-simple/page/19/#post-14050</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 26 Jul 2017 06:19:33 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@biggy: This thread died as there was too few interest (I guess) and less advanced programmers. If the idea hasn&#8217;t been further developed in a private group, then I&#8217;d guess that everything that has been developed is in this thread &#8230;</p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14038</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 18 Jul 2017 16:04:05 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8230; and here would have been the wins on EURUSD for the last 3 trading days. It&#8217;s really a shame that my dayjob hinders me to test this strategy and to make some easy pips &#8230;</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" src="http://www.biostudies.de/images/winsmorningbreak.png" alt="" width="941" height="697" /></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14031</link>
				<pubDate>Sat, 15 Jul 2017 08:59:00 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href='http://penguintraders.com/members/flx23/' rel="nofollow ugc">@flx23</a>: I&#8217;ve just shared some ideas that working with quite simple assumptions. I haven&#8217;t backtested them (although I did some &#8220;visual&#8221; backtesting). Thus, I surely would be interested in the results of backtests. And if you (or others) think the ideas are worth studying I think it would be a good idea to find optimal parametrs. For instance, for&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21482"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14031" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14027</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 14 Jul 2017 08:22:20 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re welcome. But please discuss some of your findings here (unfortunately I see that there is still not that much response to the forum activities (although there are a lot of visitors &#8230;).</p>
<p>However, whenever you use some longer lookback periods you&#8217;ll see that most of the time there are repainted signals on at least 2 subsequent bars &#8230;&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21477"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14027" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Thread for (stupid) questions in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/thread-for-stupid-questions/#post-14020</link>
				<pubDate>Wed, 12 Jul 2017 06:58:42 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If I get your idea, I think there is no way to make the values of the first x/2 bars non-repaint because no indicator will know the future values &#8230;</p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14015</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 11 Jul 2017 16:40:39 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ok, let&#8217;s start with some simple observations and try to figure out how we could use them in our trading. (Disclaimer: All ideas presented in this and all of my other posts are just for demonstration and discussion purposes. If you apply some of these ideas to your trading you&#8217;ll do it on your own risk!)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Morning break</strong></p>
<p>My first observation is,&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21462"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14015" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14015</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 11 Jul 2017 16:40:39 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ok, let&#8217;s start with some simple observations and try to figure out how we could use them in our trading. (Disclaimer: All ideas presented in this and all of my other posts are just for demonstration and discussion purposes. If you apply some of these ideas to your trading you&#8217;ll do it on your own risk!)</p>
<p>My first observation is, that during</p>
<p> 	an&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21461"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14015" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic For the friends of cultivated filtering in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/for-the-friends-of-cultivated-filtering/#post-14007</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 07 Jul 2017 10:50:05 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh, I also missed your thread while I was away during the last weeks. I&#8217;m not quite educated when it comes to filtering and Ehler&#8217;s methods, but I think it should be relatively easy to implement some of the ideas in R. Thus, count me in for some R tests &#8230;</p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14002</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 06 Jul 2017 03:58:29 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href='http://penguintraders.com/members/flx23/' rel="nofollow ugc">@flx23</a>: Thank&#8217;s a lot for your reply. With the statement you cited in the first place, I&#8217;ve thought in some ways like it was described in a recent FF thread: <a href="https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=662550" rel="nofollow ugc">The Monty Hall Problem applied to trading</a>. I believe that the equite curves show that it is possible to be successful without ever knowing which way to got. However, that might be a dangerous&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21443"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14002" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14002</link>
				<pubDate>Thu, 06 Jul 2017 03:58:29 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href='http://penguintraders.com/members/flx23/' rel="nofollow ugc">@flx23</a>: Thank&#8217;s a lot for your reply. With the statement you cited in the first place, I&#8217;ve thought in some ways like it was described in a recent FF thread: <a href="https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=662550" rel="nofollow ugc">The Monty Hall Problem applied to trading</a>. I believe that the equite curves show that it is possible to be successful without ever knowing which way to got. However, that might be a dangerous&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21442"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-14002" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-13993</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jul 2017 21:48:53 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In general, you can break every strategy down to one of two trading approaches:</p>
<p> 	mean reversion trading<br />
 	trend trading</p>
<p>In both cases we can only succeed if we are able to quantify the underlying state of the market properly and thus to identify situations with higher than average chances of success.</p>
<p>Another thing we should discuss together is&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21427"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-13993" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-13992</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jul 2017 21:41:13 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>During the last years I&#8217;ve seen many attempts to apply some statistical models like AR(I)MA or the Wiener process to market prizes or to describe the market distributions with some widely used distribution functions. However, while discussing these ideas with two statisticians from the UCL and the Alan Turing Institute I&#8217;ve realized that these&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21429"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-13992" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-13992</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jul 2017 21:41:13 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>During the last years I&#8217;ve seen many attempts to apply some statistical models like AR(I)MA or the Wiener process to market prizes or to describe the market distributions with some widely used distribution functions. However, while discussion these ideas with two statisticians from the UCL and the Alan Turing Institute I&#8217;ve realized that these&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21426"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/#post-13992" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti started the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jul 2017 21:19:07 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I guess like most of you, during the last years I became to some degree successful in trading. I make some money on some days. However, on other days I give back most of it, and thus I&#8217;ll never make enough money from trading in order to refer to myself as a successful trader. Thus, I&#8217;ve thought that it would be time to change my few on the market.&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21428"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti started the topic Towards a quantitative market view: Trading started from Zero in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/</link>
				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jul 2017 21:19:07 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I guess like most of you, during the last years I became to some degree successful in trading. I make some money on some days. However, on other days I give back most of it, and thus I&#8217;ll never make enough money from trading in order to refer myself as a successful trader. Thus, I&#8217;ve thought that it would be time to change my few on the market.&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21425"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/towards-a-quantitative-market-view-trading-started-from-zero/" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Lowphat replied to the topic The similarity system - discussion in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/the-similarity-system-discussion/page/9/#post-13990</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jun 2017 20:18:51 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>the only thing i found useful in the sim thread was that it makes you<em> look at price action around inefficient market moves</em>. this put me on the path of <strong>Order Flow</strong>. I just want to be sitting in a pile of <em>imbalanced orders </em>regardless of what various stats or indicators say about the next bar because it&#8217;s the imbalanced orders that move price  &hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21420"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/the-similarity-system-discussion/page/9/#post-13990" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Lowphat replied to the topic The similarity system - discussion in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/the-similarity-system-discussion/page/9/#post-13990</link>
				<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jun 2017 20:18:51 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>the only thing i found useful in the sim thread was that it makes you<em> look at price action around inefficient market moves</em>. this put me on the path of <strong>Order Flow</strong>. I just want to be sitting in a pile of <em>imbalanced orders </em>regardless of what various stats or indicators say about the next bar   :)    this can end up being the most important thing you&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21419"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/the-similarity-system-discussion/page/9/#post-13990" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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				<title>Anti replied to the topic The similarity system - discussion in the forum General Discussions</title>
				<link>http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/the-similarity-system-discussion/page/9/#post-13977</link>
				<pubDate>Sun, 25 Jun 2017 20:39:23 -0400</pubDate>

									<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You&#8217;re good, <a href='http://penguintraders.com/members/flx23/' rel="nofollow ugc">@flx23</a>. The main assumption of the theorem was that prize is generated by a stochastic process that gives equal chances for any candle to be either an up or down candle (or having higher highs/lows than the previous candle). However, in his post (see the delivered quotation <a href="https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7831224#post7831224" rel="nofollow ugc">here</a>) Eurusdd presumes that the probability is shifted&hellip;<span class="activity-read-more" id="activity-read-more-21396"><a href="http://penguintraders.com/forums/topic/the-similarity-system-discussion/page/9/#post-13977" rel="nofollow ugc">[Read more]</a></span></p>
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