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  • in reply to: Currency Strength #5012
    Rahat Lukum
    Participant

       Highly recommended for anybody who isn’t scared of some math on a higher level.  

      I can only be scared of things I know  ;-)  I was intrigued by the title, so I hunted it down, received the book today. Thanks for the tip!

      in reply to: Potential SPAM and SCAM Alerts #4770
      Rahat Lukum
      Participant

        This reply has been reported for inappropriate content.

        90 groups and counting today… Yesterday was 270 something.

        One of my most drastic methods was to ban IP ranges, only thing that worked. Do we have users from the same region as the spammer? If not, I advise you to think about it, bans can always be lifted later.

        in reply to: Bull Bear Power Indicator #4505
        Rahat Lukum
        Participant

          I second to Smallcat, when I don’t know how’s the calculation done, I’m in trouble  ;-)  I understand no source will be given, but maybe enough hints to replicate the calculation part on other platforms?  :bye:

          in reply to: How to: Creation of Fractal Arrow Indi #4433
          Rahat Lukum
          Participant

            What’s the “delay” between fractals? I don’t remember seeing it anywhere except for the last couple of posts here.

            in reply to: How to: Creation of Fractal Arrow Indi #4423
            Rahat Lukum
            Participant

              Guys, if you want i can post the little bit of skype chat I had with GG. In fact I’m running out of options and maybe someone else can use the hard to understand information GG gave. Sadly it is nearly impossibly to get GG to answer the few questions I still have.

              I think it doesn’t hurt if you do so, it will be more than welcome! What I’m particularly interested in are the questions you can’t get an answer to, sometimes these spark great ideas. Thank you for your efforts!  :bye:

              in reply to: MTH – Having Fun with Geometrical Charting #4369
              Rahat Lukum
              Participant

                Thanks, Kiads!  :bye:

                in reply to: MTH – Having Fun with Geometrical Charting #4352
                Rahat Lukum
                Participant

                  Hi Kiads, you’re hard to get in touch  ;-)

                  I want to harass you with some details if you don’t mind. The second video is the source!

                  1. Is first TL drawn from top to top or bottom to top?
                  2. Are the horizontal lines the price projections?

                  If I can these 2 sorted at first, then I get a clearer understanding to build on, thank you!

                  in reply to: Pivot Points #4324
                  Rahat Lukum
                  Participant

                    Saver, what’s your take on sense of direction? My experience to date tells me that if I know the direction with high probability I could play it without anything else, you get what I’m saying?  ;-)

                    in reply to: MTH – Having Fun with Geometrical Charting #4248
                    Rahat Lukum
                    Participant

                      Thanks, Kiads! Top explanation, I’m gonna draw them now, good exercise before snore time  ;-)

                      in reply to: MTH – Having Fun with Geometrical Charting #4245
                      Rahat Lukum
                      Participant

                        What a video  :wacko:

                        Chart setup is a mystery. where do you get or should there be 13.5p and 24 boxes?

                        Third trendline, where do you get 315?

                        From what comes 4th trendline?

                        Can first + second TL equal to more than 360 degrees?

                        Hope you don’t mind my questions  :bye:

                        in reply to: Currency Strength/Power/Value Indicator #4141
                        Rahat Lukum
                        Participant

                          Now this is really interesting. before the move happened on CHFJPY we see the orange M15 (fastest) line making a huge spike to the upside. Right before also the green fastest line made a spike to the upside. On USDCHF we see a spike of the green M15 (fastest) line to the downside exactly one hour before the move happened.

                          Could we use your indicator for news trading?

                          Hmmm – did you never observe similar spikes of this indicator when no relevant news are about to happen?

                          My guess is: sheer coincidence.

                          It might not be a coincidence or luck, letme quote you this:

                          However Adam Myers, European head of FX research at Credit Agricole, said that some market participants appeared to have been aware that the SNB’s decision was coming before the official announcement.

                          “It definitely looks like to us,” he said on Friday. “There was a movement in the market well ahead of the headlines (from the SNB).”

                          Just follow the money and the footprints of the big boys? :whistle:

                          in reply to: I Learn to Trade #4116
                          Rahat Lukum
                          Participant

                            Hi Scissors, I plan to open account at FXCM, LOL I think you should consider Oanda or any ECN broker survive from this tsunami like IC Markets, Peperstone, …

                            The picture I’m getting is that MM’s survived it much better than ECNs, the former ones didn’t have much orders out on interbank level and as long as there aren’t too many winners it’s all fine for them. For ECN’s lack of liquidity or the absence of quotes (Deutsche Bank’s Autobahn stopped quoting after the announcement, they say :unsure: ) means you know what…

                            • This reply was modified 11 years, 6 months ago by Rahat Lukum.
                            in reply to: How to: Creation of Fractal Arrow Indi #3850
                            Rahat Lukum
                            Participant

                              I’m starting to have a little success :yahoo: It still needs a bit of tweaking due to way too early signals. There is some kind of filter missing for getting longer signals…..mmmmmh

                              Pics or it didn’t happen  ;-)

                              in reply to: Footprints of a TZR indi development #3645
                              Rahat Lukum
                              Participant

                                Just pulled everything together for the final push for GEN1 indicator(s). 1 down 7 to go. Stubborn as I am, I’m still going the accumulation route, combined up, down, middle readings are nothing fancy, useless actually.

                                Prob

                                 

                                http://postimg.org/image/ficdnobuf/

                                 

                                • This reply was modified 11 years, 6 months ago by Rahat Lukum. Reason: Why this forum has image feature if it's not working?
                                • This reply was modified 11 years, 6 months ago by Rahat Lukum. Reason: Is that an image there?
                                in reply to: Price on CLOSE ?! Really?!?! #3417
                                Rahat Lukum
                                Participant

                                  No problems, Vlan! Thanks for getting back on the arrow thing.

                                  I’m not sure about the horizontal thing, truth is G hasn’t put forward the whole thing and maybe he left those out, he did say not every case is marked.

                                  As of now the second line from below has been hit, and the way chart looks the lowest should be taken out as well. I hope G sees this and either draws a big red “X” on it or whispers it might be something in the right direction. Marking those lines I remembered Delicate Secret by Eurusdd, maybe I’ll cook up the indi for statistics to see if it has something in it, DD as alwyas a problem, like Patrick mentioned.

                                  :bye:

                                  Ok, regrouped and reloaded I come again :-) Vlan, I’m not the policy of truth or its beholder, so I’m not stating mine is for real, it’s just my interpretation, my best effort. BTW, what are your results with fractal arrow? Back to the topic… Let me show you how I see this: http://postimg.org/image/bnbshr99l/ http://postimg.org/image/4r5yjam4b/ Very primitive, lets see if targets will be met except for the upper one. EDIT: I still missed one line.

                                  Sorry Rahat :) I was just sharing my interpretation.

                                  in reply to: Price on CLOSE ?! Really?!?! #3404
                                  Rahat Lukum
                                  Participant

                                    Ok, regrouped and reloaded I come again  :-)

                                    Vlan, I’m not the policy of truth or its beholder, so I’m not stating mine is for real, it’s just my interpretation, my best effort. BTW, what are your results with fractal arrow?

                                    Back to the topic… Let me show you how I see this:

                                    http://postimg.org/image/bnbshr99l/

                                    http://postimg.org/image/4r5yjam4b/

                                     

                                    Very primitive, lets see if targets will be met except for the upper one.

                                    EDIT: I still missed one line.

                                    • This reply was modified 11 years, 6 months ago by Rahat Lukum.
                                    in reply to: Price on CLOSE ?! Really?!?! #3371
                                    Rahat Lukum
                                    Participant

                                      Hmm, sorry, I jumped the gun too soon, I’ve done a couple mistakes :negative: , I need to revisit the drawingboard :-(

                                      in reply to: Price on CLOSE ?! Really?!?! #3363
                                      Rahat Lukum
                                      Participant

                                        I think guys this is something like this ->  http://postimg.org/image/mydnuwpjn/

                                        Look at the most upper line, it hit just as I was making the screenshot… Meaning I drew it before it was hit, magic before my eyes :unsure:

                                        • This reply was modified 11 years, 6 months ago by Rahat Lukum. Reason: Still pics don't show
                                        in reply to: GG chart #3274
                                        Rahat Lukum
                                        Participant

                                          This reply has been reported for inappropriate content.

                                          Vlan, how are your results so far?

                                          in reply to: GG chart #3079
                                          Rahat Lukum
                                          Participant

                                            This reply has been reported for inappropriate content.

                                            Can I ask you this: does close needs to be higher than other closes or higher than other highs?

                                            Thank you!

                                            Hi Emonts

                                            The rule is simple: the fractal bar must have it’s close higher/lower than the rest of bars that make up the pattern. Bars with red crosses don’t meet this condition.

                                            Vlan

                                            in reply to: ForexFactory terminated users #3028
                                            Rahat Lukum
                                            Participant

                                              Make a helluva campaign for our forum here, and you’ll be revoked very quickly! It would be actually great I think to popularize this place a bit more. Few weeks back I saw 2 posts about some indicator over at SHF, that dude got suspended in less than 24h I believe, followed by a ban.

                                              Does anyone know who the mods are at ff? I know one bloke, he literally works for a broker (a criminal would be more appropriate wording) and I know his professional reputation before he turned into trading, very interesting biography :whistle:


                                              @steve
                                              : nice try in damage-limitation, NOT! :rose:

                                              I don’t think any Brokers would start to have anyone barred from FF, even if they had the power to do that, because no system or method being traded within FF forums would be any threat to them. The reason I think this is because when someone opens a thread within the Trading System Forum he does it, usually, because he believes he has a successful system/method to disclose. The more popular and widely read a system/method becomes the more the Brokers like it because, like Trading itself, only 1% to 5% of all the people using any system/method will be successful Trading it and that depends on it being successful in the first place. So I think you are all under an misapprehension if you think FF was forced into barring you, by the Brokers, because the system/method you where Trading was a threat to them. I have no idea why FF blocked so many accounts but I’m sure it had nothing to do with the Brokers advertising on FF. I’m sorry but any system/method you or I happen to be trading will make no difference to them, the Brokers, unless we can all come together at exactly the same time and start pushing enough money into the Market to make it move which will never happen, B-)

                                              hm, everybody is free to think what they want.

                                              But your argumentation is not that valid in my opinion. Do you really think that Brokers are sportsmen? “Oh hell, those people are good. Let them take a good amount of our profit, because they deserve it.” ?

                                              human greed is endless, sadly. 1% or 5 % only successful… This is a common knowledge , but is this really true? I remember a thread in ff.com where this was discussed and the statistics from Brokers were quite different.

                                              But lets assume that is correct. I remember sawing one of Jay´s last account screenshots it was around 500k. Do you remember in what timeframe he made that? Leverage is a 2 edged sword for the brokers too. They make trading Forex cheap, but if successful people use that leverage to exponentially increase their winnings. Could you believe that an open discussion which could leads to such a system (everything was fine as long as it stayed the cryptic way) that can be openly viewed by thousands of forum members could potentially ring the alarm bells of the brokers?

                                              You can even go and do some research on your own. That is not the first time ff.com gets the accusation to delete successful systems.

                                              Are those people just dumb conspiracy theorists? Is it really the interest of ff.com that they get a mass of successful traders? Why on earth should they bother any longer to participate in their forums? There would be no more need for forums where you find an endless amount of systems… (100s of pages long)

                                              And in the end it doesn´t even matter now. Because i don´t want to participate there any longer.. wrote Twee 2 messages telling him i want my account deleted..i´m still there, sadly. I don´t like the way ff.com operates. Point

                                              in reply to: Footprints of a TZR indi development #2850
                                              Rahat Lukum
                                              Participant

                                                Thank you for your answer!

                                                I looked into it before too, then other stuff took over, anxiously waiting to return to it.

                                                You’re correctly understanding the probabilities. As far as my research went (I have some things to go through still), bar probabilities can be viewed both ways – as independent and dependent. In some cases there is clear overlap – dependent – and in other cases there’s like a “semi-overlap” at most, which I would define as an independent event.

                                                For independent cases I should multiply the probabilities, correct?
                                                0.35*0.05*0.8=0.014

                                                Going Saver’s way (1-0.014=0.986) would then produce one helluva probability stat ;-)

                                                What are the options for dependent probability accumulation?

                                                Firstly, I’m not at home with English statistical terms, so pardon my loose use of those

                                                The same is true for me. :whistle:

                                                Best if I give one example: I have a bar holding multiple probability values, something like the following:

                                                Bar[0,0]=35
                                                Bar[0,1]=5
                                                Bar[0,2]=80

                                                What I want is to have a combined/accumulated/compounded reading for Bar[0]. The answer being 40 – I’m not so sure. Suggestions very much appreciated!

                                                My interpretation of those lines: At bar zero you’re observing three events with probabilities p0 = 0.35, p1 = 0.05, and p2 = 0.8. Correct so far?

                                                Key questions now: What kind of events are the basis for those probabilities? Are those 3 events statistically independent of each other (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_%28probability_theory%29) ?

                                                in reply to: Footprints of a TZR indi development #2643
                                                Rahat Lukum
                                                Participant

                                                  Firstly, I’m not at home with English statistical terms, so pardon my loose use of those and me sounding a bit daft.

                                                  Best if I give one example: I have a bar holding multiple probability values, something like the following:

                                                  Bar[0,0]=35
                                                  Bar[0,1]=5
                                                  Bar[0,2]=80

                                                  What I want is to have a combined/accumulated/compounded reading for Bar[0]. The answer being 40 – I’m not so sure.

                                                  Suggestions very much appreciated!

                                                  … accumulate the probabilities …

                                                  Hmmm – maybe I can contribute. Which probabilities (precisely) do you plan to accumulate?

                                                  in reply to: Please report bugs #2620
                                                  Rahat Lukum
                                                  Participant

                                                    This reply has been reported for inappropriate content.

                                                    Saver, when I attach pics (“Insert image”), they won’t show up, broken image symbol is all there is. If opened separately, right click, open in new tab/window, everything works. I upload them in postimage.org .  If you find time, maybe you can take a look.  :bye:

                                                     

                                                    Thanks!

                                                    in reply to: Transient & Recurrent Zones #2544
                                                    Rahat Lukum
                                                    Participant

                                                      This reply has been reported for inappropriate content.

                                                      I will make the private group shortly. If anybody wants to develop it with me or participate in testing or providing suggestions, please make sure you add me as a friend. I can only invite friends to join the group :-)

                                                      Let me express my interest in this group as well! :bye:

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